Invitation to a webinar on model-based evaluation of scenarios for reopening Denmark
The expert group for mathematical modelling of COVID-19 invites you to attend a webinar on Tuesday the 16th June 2020 from 9.15-12.00.
The webinar was held, and a recording is accessible on YouTube.
Models to simulate the spread of SARS-CoV-2 (the virus causing COVID-19) have been developed by researchers from Statistics Denmark, the Technical University of Denmark, the University of Copenhagen and Roskilde University. These models have been used to evaluate the predicted burden on critical hospital functions, including beds on normal hospital wards and intensive care units, in connection with the gradual reopening of Denmark. The webinar will focus on the technical elements of the models, including descriptions of the models and parameter estimates that were used.
The webinar is open to everybody with an interest in mathematical modelling and a desire to understand the technical aspects of the models as well as the rationale behind them.
Program for webinar on the 16th June
|09.15 – 09.25||Introduction|
|09.25 – 09.30||Overview of the model structure|
|09.30 – 10.00||Hospitalisation parameters|
|10.00 – 10.10||Break|
|10.10 – 10.45||Contact parameters and the effects of re-opening|
|10.45 – 11.15||Model uncertainty and the unknown burden of infection|
|11.15 – 12.00||Discussion|
The webinary will be moderated by Jakob Stoustrup (Professor, Department of Electronic Systems, Aalborg University. Following the presentations, there will be a discussion of the models and parameters by Susanne Ditlevsen (professor, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Copenhagen), Mogens Fosgerau (professor, Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen) and Jens Lundgren (professor, Department of Infectious Diseases at Rigshospitalet and University of Copenhagen). There will also be an opportunity to ask questions.
Background: Statens Serum Institut (SSI) along with a number of Danish research institute and public authorities has formed an expert group to develop mathematical models for COVID-19. Their task is to provide ongoing information on the spread of infection in Denmark, including the burden on critical hospital functions, as well as the effect of proposed policies for the gradual reopening of society. You can read more in the expert group’s reports, which can be found here (in danish).